Inter Turku 3-3 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.49
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.39
X/2
12%
8.12
X/X
16%
4.93
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
11%
5.91
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.74/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.15
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.0 Crosses 19.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oulu
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.29 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
222 Passes 380
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
18.03.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
21.08.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.04.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
22.09.2021 Inter Turku Inter Turku 4-0 HT 3-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
3-3
AWAY Oulu
1.62 xG 1.81
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 421
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku and Oulu shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 42% of the ball to Oulu's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.62 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter Turku and 0.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Oulu?

Inter Turku 3-3 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 38%, draw 29%, Oulu 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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