VPS 1-1 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Apr 2024

VPS
1-1 HT 0-0
SJK Seinajoki
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

VPS vs SJK Seinajoki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.49
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
13%
4.53
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VPS v SJK Seinajoki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.14/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.21
+25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.5 Crosses 25.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

VPS vs SJK Seinajoki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-0D-3L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 0.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
21.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
09.08.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
08.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
04.02.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FLK
03.09.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-0 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN

VPS 1-1 SJK Seinajoki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-1
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.36 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
285 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VPS vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS and SJK Seinajoki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, VPS had 44% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 56%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VPS and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

VPS 1-1 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split VPS 34%, draw 29%, SJK Seinajoki 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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