VPS 2-1 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.22
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.84
X/2
11%
5.03
X/X
10%
4.27
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
13%
3.42
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 43%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.99/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.88
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
09.08.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
08.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
04.02.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FLK
03.09.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-0 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
13.05.2022 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
POST-MATCH VPS vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS edged past SJK Seinajoki 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 1.67 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

VPS 2-1 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - League Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VPS 44%, draw 26%, SJK Seinajoki 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
27 Jan 2024
15:00 Inter Turku vs FC Lahti Analysis →
16:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere Analysis →
16:00 Oulu vs Haka Analysis →