KuPS Kuopio 0-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 38% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.75
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.29
X/2
12%
7.08
X/X
16%
4.37
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
5.55
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
420 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-3 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
23.04.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
11.02.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
03.09.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
09.04.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
02.10.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 2-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere beat KuPS Kuopio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 0.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

KuPS Kuopio 0-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - League Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 42%, draw 29%, Ilves Tampere 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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