ADO Den Haag 1-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Aug 2024

ADO Den Haag
1-1 HT 1-0
VVV-Venlo
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

ADO Den Haag vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
4.56
X/2
11%
7.85
X/X
10%
5.64
2/1
9%
21.45
2/2
10%
5.26
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ADO Den Haag v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.63
+15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.6 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

ADO Den Haag vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.79 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
407 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
27.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
27.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
04.11.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-3 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.04.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-5 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
14.11.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

ADO Den Haag 1-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
1-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.47 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
315 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag and VVV-Venlo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 50% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 50%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs VVV-Venlo?

ADO Den Haag 1-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 45%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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