Armagh City 2-2 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Armagh City
2-2 HT 1-1
Institute FC
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Armagh City vs Institute FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
20%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 27% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Armagh City v Institute FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City and Institute FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Institute FC?

Armagh City 2-2 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 32%, draw 27%, Institute FC 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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