Dundela 1-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Dundela
1-0 HT 1-0
Newry City AFC
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Dundela vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
32%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
34%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.89 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundela v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.12/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +86%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Dundela vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Newry City AFC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.02.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundela Dundela KİRK
28.01.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
29.02.2020 Dundela Dundela 0-0 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
21.12.2019 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela nicked a narrow win over Newry City AFC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dundela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dundela and 1.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Newry City AFC?

Dundela 1-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundela 37%, draw 25%, Newry City AFC 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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