Al Shamal 2-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.4
2-3 Goals
35%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-13.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
0.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.93
-63% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.2
11.6 Crosses 20.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.22 xG 3.93
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
247 Passes 508
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
01.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
17.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.09.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
18.01.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.09.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 7-2 HT 3-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
2-1
AWAY Al Sadd
0.88 xG 2.77
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
211 Passes 480
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal nicked a narrow win over Al Sadd 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Al Sadd carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Shamal had 34% of the ball to Al Sadd's 66%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.88 to 2.77 — on chances, Al Sadd could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shamal and 4.00 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Sadd?

Al Shamal 2-1 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 21%, draw 23%, Al Sadd 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5
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