Al Shamal 0-4 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.68
Over 2.5
58%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.22
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
2.46
4-5 Goals
24%
2.34
6+ Goals
10%
3.7
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.46 — our 47% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
9%
+11.1pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.3pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-17.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 84%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.05/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/0.71
-47% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -26%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.9
12.1 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.15 xG 5.16
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
241 Passes 495
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
17.03.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.09.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
18.01.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.09.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 7-2 HT 3-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
16.04.2015 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
0-4
AWAY Al Sadd
0.28 xG 2.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
266 Passes 546
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
7 Box Touches 45
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd cruised past Al Shamal 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Shamal had 36% of the ball to Al Sadd's 64%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.28 to 2.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shamal and 3.67 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Sadd?

Al Shamal 0-4 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 20%, draw 19%, Al Sadd 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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