Al Wakrah 2-4 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.47/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.90
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
17.6 Crosses 22.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.59 xG 2.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
312 Passes 224
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
04.02.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
10.08.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
23.03.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 5-3 HT 1-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
20.02.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
31.10.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
2-4
AWAY Al Gharafa
0.54 xG 2.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
303 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa got the better of Al Wakrah 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Gharafa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 52% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 48%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.54 to 2.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wakrah and 1.83 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Al Wakrah 2-4 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 39%, draw 26%, Al Gharafa 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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