Nevezis 1-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.64
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
16.09.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 1-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
21.05.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nevezis
1-1
AWAY Atmosfera
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis and Atmosfera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nevezis had 49% of the ball to Atmosfera's 51%, shots finished 5-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nevezis and 1.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Atmosfera?

Nevezis 1-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 52%, draw 20%, Atmosfera 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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