Atmosfera 1-2 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
+11.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-16.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 57%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.92/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.19
+73% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nevezis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
33 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 1-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
21.05.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
1-2
AWAY Nevezis
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis edged past Atmosfera 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Nevezis made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Atmosfera had 46% of the ball to Nevezis's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atmosfera and 1.50 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Nevezis?

Atmosfera 1-2 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 35%, draw 28%, Nevezis 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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