Hegelmann II 0-5 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.2pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.5pp
64%
Away Win
71%
-6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 75%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.54
+2% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +92%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
0-5
AWAY FK Riteriai
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai ran out comfortable winners over Hegelmann II 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 46% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 54%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs FK Riteriai?

Hegelmann II 0-5 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 19%, draw 16%, FK Riteriai 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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