Venados 1-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.74
Over 2.5
35%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
54%
+11.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
46%
-11.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Celaya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
06.03.2024 Celaya Celaya 0-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
17.09.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
26.03.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
15.07.2022 Venados Venados 3-2 HT 2-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
14.04.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
28.07.2021 Venados Venados 1-2 HT 1-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados and Celaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venados and 1.17 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Venados vs Celaya?

Venados 1-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Venados 35%, draw 33%, Celaya 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Venados), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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