Aalesund 1-0 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 38%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +31%
1.11/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/1.36
-31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Moss
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.06.2024 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.07.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund nicked a narrow win over Moss 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Aalesund made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aalesund and 0.50 for Moss.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Moss?

Aalesund 1-0 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 38%, draw 26%, Moss 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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