Moss 1-0 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.68/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.05
-14% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aalesund
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.07.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss squeezed past Aalesund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Moss vs Aalesund?

Moss 1-0 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moss 47%, draw 26%, Aalesund 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Over 2.5
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