Egersunds 1-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egersunds
1-2
AWAY Raufoss
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss edged past Egersunds 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Egersunds at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Egersunds had 72% of the ball to Raufoss's 28%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Raufoss?

Egersunds 1-2 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 53%, draw 24%, Raufoss 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Egersunds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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