Sogndal 2-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

Sogndal
2-3 HT 1-2
Stabaek
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Sogndal vs Stabaek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.0pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sogndal v Stabaek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.33/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.00
-19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sogndal vs Stabaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Stabaek
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
159 Passes 424
60% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.07.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 4-3 HT 2-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
11.04.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
19.11.2017 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
05.04.2017 Sogndal Sogndal 4-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
28.08.2016 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
03.07.2016 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek squeezed past Sogndal 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stabaek found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sogndal and 1.00 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Stabaek?

Sogndal 2-3 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 37%, draw 26%, Stabaek 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sogndal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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