10/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Ulfstind vs Fredrikstad II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
24%
Draw
23%
29%
Away Win
30%
39%
Under 2.5
24%
61%
Over 2.5
76%
62%
BTTS Yes
73%
38%
BTTS No
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulfstind v Fredrikstad II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ulfstind
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fredrikstad II
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+20%
/
-30%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
365 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.8
Ulfstind vs Fredrikstad II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ulfstind
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Fredrikstad II
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
6.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ulfstind vs Fredrikstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ulfstind beat Fredrikstad II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulfstind as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Ulfstind vs Fredrikstad II?
Ulfstind 3-1 Fredrikstad II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulfstind vs Fredrikstad II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulfstind win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulfstind 48%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad II 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulfstind), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ulfstind)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
10 Aug 2024