10/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Verdal vs Lilleström II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
26%
Draw
20%
33%
Away Win
27%
64%
BTTS Yes
77%
36%
BTTS No
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Verdal v Lilleström II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Verdal
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lilleström II
EU Bookmakers 31%
+31% /
+31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-15%
2.00/0.46
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.82/3.59
-17%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
-38%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
5
420 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.6
Verdal vs Lilleström II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Verdal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Lilleström II
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
7.00
The Meetings
16.06.2024
Lilleström II
7-1
HT 5-1
Verdal
NOR4
7-1
HT 5-1
Verdal
NOR4
POST-MATCH
Verdal vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lilleström II cruised past Verdal 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Verdal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Verdal vs Lilleström II?
Verdal 0-4 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Verdal vs Lilleström II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Verdal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Verdal 41%, draw 26%, Lilleström II 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Verdal), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Verdal)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
10 Aug 2024