Sportivo Trinidense 3-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.72/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.16
+37% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
26.02.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PARK
25.09.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
08.07.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.05.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
3-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.13 xG 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
159 Passes 287
53% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo Ameliano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Trinidense found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 41% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 59%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 0.50 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Sportivo Trinidense 3-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 37%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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