Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 46%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.66
+83% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PARK
25.09.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
08.07.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.05.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
14.03.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
21.08.2021 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 45% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 55%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 0.67 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 35%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5
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