Club Guarani 1-3 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-8.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.42/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.88
+22% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
06.08.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 5-3 HT 3-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.06.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
01.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.09.2022 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 0-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
17.07.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-3
AWAY Club Olimpia
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia saw off Club Guarani 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Club Olimpia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Guarani had 54% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Guarani and 1.83 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Club Olimpia?

Club Guarani 1-3 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 36%, draw 33%, Club Olimpia 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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