Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Atletico
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico squeezed past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Garcilaso at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 57% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 43%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 0.96 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 2.33 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico?
Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 46%, draw 28%, Alianza Atletico 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) went the other way.