Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.1pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.10
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 HT 3-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
02.09.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
20.11.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
31.07.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
13.11.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
31.07.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0-1
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk squeezed past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Yenisey Krasnoyarsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 55% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 45%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.67 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 34%, draw 29%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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