Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
2.02/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.66
+57% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
20.11.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
31.07.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
13.11.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
31.07.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
25.11.2020 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-0 HT 2-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk cruised past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yenisey Krasnoyarsk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.67 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 44%, draw 24%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Over 2.5
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