Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.10/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.83
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volgar Astrakhan
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Tyumen
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 1-0 HT 0-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
05.10.2022 Tyumen Tyumen 0-3 HT 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUK
11.10.2015 Tyumen Tyumen 0-2 HT 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
06.07.2014 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 2-2 HT 1-2 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volgar Astrakhan
1-2
AWAY Tyumen
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volgar Astrakhan vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen nicked a narrow win over Volgar Astrakhan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tyumen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volgar Astrakhan had 46% of the ball to Tyumen's 54%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Volgar Astrakhan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Volgar Astrakhan and 0.75 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of Volgar Astrakhan vs Tyumen?

Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volgar Astrakhan vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volgar Astrakhan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Volgar Astrakhan 37%, draw 28%, Tyumen 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Volgar Astrakhan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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