13/04/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Chernomorets vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
26%
Draw
29%
36%
Away Win
37%
57%
Under 2.5
60%
43%
Over 2.5
40%
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
52%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chernomorets v Akron — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chernomorets
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Akron
EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-1%
0.63/0.57
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.10/1.16
-44%
/
+93%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
-1%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
360 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
215 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
Chernomorets vs Akron Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chernomorets
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Akron
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
38%
Ball Possession
62%
6
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
6
0
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
03.09.2023
Akron
0-0
HT 0-0
Chernomorets
RUS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Chernomorets
RUS1
POST-MATCH
Chernomorets vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chernomorets and Akron fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Akron?
Chernomorets 0-0 Akron in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Akron?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 38%, draw 26%, Akron 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chernomorets) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Chernomorets)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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RUS1
More Russia - FNL
13 Apr 2024