Khimki 0-1 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.42/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.96
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Shinnik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
11.02.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik HAZ
05.08.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-2 HT 1-2 Khimki Khimki RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
0-1
AWAY Shinnik
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik squeezed past Khimki 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Khimki carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Khimki had 65% of the ball to Shinnik's 35%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Khimki had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Khimki and 0.50 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Shinnik?

Khimki 0-1 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Khimki 56%, draw 21%, Shinnik 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Khimki), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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