Gorica 3-3 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.80/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.95
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
26.10.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
21.05.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
06.11.2021 Gorica Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
02.12.2015 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN
23.09.2015 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-0 HT 1-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
3-3
AWAY Rudar Velenje
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica and Rudar Velenje couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gorica had 59% of the ball to Rudar Velenje's 41%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gorica and 0.50 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Rudar Velenje?

Gorica 3-3 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gorica 48%, draw 28%, Rudar Velenje 24%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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