Tolmin 0-1 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 10 Aug 2024

Tolmin
0-1 HT 0-0
Bilje
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
33%
+11.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.54/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bilje
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 0-2 HT 0-1 Bilje SLVN2
09.09.2023 Bilje 2-1 HT 1-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bilje nicked a narrow win over Tolmin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bilje as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bilje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tolmin and 2.00 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Bilje?

Tolmin 0-1 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bilje win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 32%, draw 23%, Bilje 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bilje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bilje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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