Tolmin 0-2 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Mar 2024

Tolmin
0-2 HT 0-1
Bilje
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.27/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.98
-17% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bilje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Bilje 2-1 HT 1-1 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bilje saw off Tolmin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Bilje made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Bilje?

Tolmin 0-2 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bilje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 32%, draw 31%, Bilje 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bilje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bilje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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