23/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Tolmin vs Bilje Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
31%
Draw
27%
38%
Away Win
36%
57%
Under 2.5
51%
43%
Over 2.5
49%
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
55%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tolmin v Bilje — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tolmin
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bilje
EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
1.27/2.27
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.28/1.98
-17%
/
-39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
-25%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
262 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
364 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.8
Tolmin vs Bilje Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tolmin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Bilje
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
7
1
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
09.09.2023
Bilje
2-1
HT 1-1
Tolmin
SLVN2
Tolmin
SLVN2
POST-MATCH
Tolmin vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bilje saw off Tolmin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Bilje made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Tolmin vs Bilje?
Tolmin 0-2 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Bilje?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bilje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 32%, draw 31%, Bilje 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bilje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bilje)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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SLVN2
More Slovenia - 2.SNL
23 Mar 2024