Ilirija 0-2 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
41%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.39/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.93
-15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bistrica
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
25.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 4-0 HT 2-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
10.09.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-2 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
0-2
AWAY Bistrica
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica got the better of Ilirija 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bistrica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilirija had 52% of the ball to Bistrica's 48%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bistrica led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ilirija and 2.33 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Bistrica?

Ilirija 0-2 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 29%, draw 31%, Bistrica 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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