Beltinci 1-0 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beltinci EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.00/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/2.38
+21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beltinci
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
13.11.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-2 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
29.07.2022 Beltinci Beltinci 2-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
27.11.2021 Beltinci Beltinci 0-3 HT 0-2 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beltinci
1-0
AWAY Rudar Velenje
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beltinci vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beltinci nicked a narrow win over Rudar Velenje 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beltinci as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beltinci had 55% of the ball to Rudar Velenje's 45%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Beltinci had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Beltinci and 1.25 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Beltinci vs Rudar Velenje?

Beltinci 1-0 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beltinci vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beltinci 46%, draw 26%, Rudar Velenje 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beltinci) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beltinci) ✗ Over 2.5
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