Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-4 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Nong Bua Pitchaya
0-4 HT 0-1
Buriram United
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nong Bua Pitchaya v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 71%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.69/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.77
-33% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +140%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
9.6 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.92 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
229 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
15.10.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 3-1 HT 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
10.04.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-3 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
09.11.2021 Buriram United Buriram United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY

Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-4 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
0-4
AWAY Buriram United
0.32 xG 2.08
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 13
155 Passes 481
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United cruised past Nong Bua Pitchaya 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 29% of the ball to Buriram United's 71%, shots finished 8-25, expected goals 0.32 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 1.75 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Buriram United?

Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-4 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 19%, draw 23%, Buriram United 58%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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