Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sukhothai v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sukhothai
TAY
Sukhothai 1-3 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United got the better of Sukhothai 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sukhothai had 32% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 68%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.11 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sukhothai and 3.50 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United?
Sukhothai 1-3 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 32%, draw 23%, BG Pathum United 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.