Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.07/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.11
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
30.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
29.04.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
18.10.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-4 HT 0-3 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
19.09.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-0 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
04.11.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk edged past Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zorya Luhansk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.33 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk?

Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 30%, draw 26%, Zorya Luhansk 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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