Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +23%
1.48/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.23
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
29.04.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
18.10.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-4 HT 0-3 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
19.09.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-0 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
04.11.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
04.08.2018 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-1 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Zorya Luhansk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.33 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 38%, draw 23%, Chornomorets Odessa 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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