Vorskla Poltava 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.94/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.66
+16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.06.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
23.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
23.10.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-2 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
04.04.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-2 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
24.10.2020 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-1 HT 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk nicked a narrow win over Vorskla Poltava 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 1.67 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Vorskla Poltava 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 16%, draw 22%, Shakhtar Donetsk 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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