Zhejiang G. FC 3-4 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.79
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.45
6+ Goals
10%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.3
1/2
5%
22.6
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
16%
6.06
X/2
8%
6.29
X/X
9%
6.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.75
2/2
26%
3.5
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.24/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.74
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.0 Crosses 13.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
314 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
16.08.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
15.09.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
28.05.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
30.11.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3-4
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.55 xG 2.10
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
238 Passes 505
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan edged past Zhejiang G. FC 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Beijing Guoan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 35% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 65%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.55 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.00 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Zhejiang G. FC 3-4 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 36%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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