Independiente 0-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.61
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
9%
5.84
X/2
16%
5.16
X/X
12%
3.55
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
13%
3.81
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.10/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.7 Crosses 17.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
0W-2D-4L
AWAY River Plate
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.61 xG 1.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 Passes 439
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
01.09.2024 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
10.03.2024 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
26.10.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.04.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.08.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
0-0
AWAY River Plate
0.58 xG 0.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
236 Passes 325
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and River Plate fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Independiente had 44% of the ball to River Plate's 56%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.58 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Independiente and 1.50 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Independiente vs River Plate?

Independiente 0-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente 35%, draw 28%, River Plate 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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