Independiente 0-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.47
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.77
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.8
X/1
14%
6.51
X/2
10%
4.29
X/X
18%
3.38
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.23
2/X
11%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
0.90/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.08
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.1 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
1W-2D-3L
AWAY River Plate
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 1.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 460
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
26.10.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.04.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.08.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
06.09.2021 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
10.01.2021 River Plate River Plate 0-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
0-0
AWAY River Plate
0.18 xG 0.51
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
142 Passes 477
62% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and River Plate played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Independiente had 29% of the ball to River Plate's 71%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.18 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente and 1.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Independiente vs River Plate?

Independiente 0-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente 30%, draw 33%, River Plate 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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