Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boca Juniors v Rosario Central — Team-Based Signals
Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Boca Juniors
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Rosario Central
ARJ
2-1
HT 0-0
Rosario Central
ARJ
1-2
HT 1-1
Boca Juniors
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Boca Juniors
ARJ
0-0
HT 0-0
Rosario Central
ARJSK
Boca Juniors 2-1 Rosario Central — Actual Match Statistics
Boca Juniors nicked a narrow win over Rosario Central 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boca Juniors had 48% of the ball to Rosario Central's 52%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.98 to 1.75 — on chances, Rosario Central could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.83 for Rosario Central.
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central?
Boca Juniors 2-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 51%, draw 28%, Rosario Central 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.