Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.32
+1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +3%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
430 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 66%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
21.0 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Sarsfield
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.51 xG 0.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
420 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
09.06.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Sarsfield
4-0
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
2.09 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
331 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield swept aside Independiente Rivadavia 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Velez Sarsfield as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Velez Sarsfield had 56% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 44%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.09 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Velez Sarsfield and 0.00 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Velez Sarsfield 54%, draw 25%, Independiente Rivadavia 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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