St George Willawong 3-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.3
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George Willawong
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.05.2025 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-3 St George Willawong St George Willawong AVSQ
POST-MATCH St George Willawong vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George Willawong nicked a narrow win over Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St George Willawong as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of St George Willawong vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

St George Willawong 3-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George Willawong vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George Willawong win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St George Willawong 53%, draw 24%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George Willawong), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St George Willawong) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVSQ More Australia - Queensland NPL
10 Aug 2025
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