La Louvière 1-0 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
13%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
1/X
4%
13.9
X/1
9%
6.79
X/2
19%
4.83
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.03
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
0.84/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.13
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
26.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
1-0
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.80 xG 1.03
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
156 Passes 414
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Louvière had 32% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 68%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.80 to 1.03.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Sporting Charleroi?

La Louvière 1-0 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 33%, draw 22%, Sporting Charleroi 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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