Standard Liege 2-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.8
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
10%
8.0
X/2
16%
4.44
X/X
8%
4.63
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.55
2/X
10%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.28/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.40
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
17.4 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Genk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 433
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
04.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
28.07.2024 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.03.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
25.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
09.04.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 2-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
2-1
AWAY Genk
1.89 xG 1.26
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
134 Passes 575
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege squeezed past Genk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Genk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 24% of the ball to Genk's 76%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 1.89 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Standard Liege and 0.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Genk?

Standard Liege 2-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 26%, draw 26%, Genk 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
10 Aug 2025
14:30 La Louvière vs Sporting Charleroi Analysis →
17:00 Anderlecht vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
20:15 Royal Antwerp vs OH Leuven Analysis →