Standard Liege 1-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Feb 2025

Standard Liege
1-2 HT 0-1
Genk
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Standard Liege vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.1
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
10%
8.72
X/2
13%
4.17
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.32
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.55
Value flag · 2/X at 14.55 — our 10% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Standard Liege v Genk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 57%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
0.99/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.31
+17% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
13.4 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Standard Liege vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Genk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.90
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
262 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
28.07.2024 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.03.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
25.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
09.04.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 2-0 Genk Genk BEL
31.07.2022 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 3-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL

Standard Liege 1-2 Genk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
1-2
AWAY Genk
1.56 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 469
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk edged past Standard Liege 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Standard Liege had 40% of the ball to Genk's 60%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.56 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Standard Liege and 1.00 for Genk.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Genk?

Standard Liege 1-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 26%, draw 27%, Genk 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →