Genk 1-0 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
23%
4.0
X/2
7%
10.15
X/X
7%
5.86
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
8%
7.38
2/X
5%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.28/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.3 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
09.04.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 2-0 Genk Genk BEL
31.07.2022 Genk Genk 3-1 HT 3-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
13.02.2022 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.07.2021 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
25.04.2021 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
1-0
AWAY Standard Liege
2.05 xG 0.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
335 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk nicked a narrow win over Standard Liege 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Genk had 54% of the ball to Standard Liege's 46%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Genk's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genk and 1.00 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?

Genk 1-0 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Genk 57%, draw 20%, Standard Liege 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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