Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Mar 2024

Union Saint-Gilloise
1-1 HT 0-0
Gent
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 23% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
13%
4.18
X/2
7%
8.41
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.25
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v Gent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.53
+18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.0 Crosses 12.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gent
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.11 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 426
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
08.04.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.01.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0 HT 3-0 Gent Gent BEK
19.10.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
26.12.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
31.10.2021 Gent Gent 0-2 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Gent — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1-1
AWAY Gent
1.49 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
377 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Gent shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 52% of the ball to Gent's 48%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.49 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.33 for Gent.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 50%, draw 25%, Gent 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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